Mr. Market
November 2nd, 2008 · Filed Under: Mr. Market
I have a love/hate relationship with Mr. Market for…..well, far too long. He had a panic attack and loss of power this this month. He chose to “shoot first and ask questions later”. Some of my favorite flirtations have been exposed as having been financially unfaithful by hiding their debts “off balance sheet”.
Financially Unfaithful
Some guys, like Mr. AIG and Mr. WaMu were constantly telling me what I wanted to hear. Their agents (brokers, analysts, experts) told me how solid and secure they were, but behind the scenes were getting their kicks with low end borrowers, lots of borrowed money, and huge parties. They’ve now caught some nasty diseases, and have spread it to those who didn’t think to protect themselves.
Trading as Life
Traders often talk about the market in metaphor. Some say the market is a game, poker or a casino. I tried all of those, but didn’t find them helpful. Games operate under known rules that can be learned easily. There might still be strategy to master, as in chess, but the rules don’t change.
Nassim Taleb broke my affinity for the casino/game metaphor in his book “The Black Swan”. He explained that Las Vegas sets up games with a finite number of known possibilities so they always win. But then a tiger attacks the one person they never expected, his trainer (nor were they insured for as an event) it put the casino at risk of a catastrophic loss.
Events can happen outside the imagination of the participants in real markets – games can be controlled.
All participants contribute to the events whether they work on Wall Street or Main Street. Since I don’t have inside information about when the Federal Reserve will change the rules by deciding that one company is “too big to fail” (AIG, Fannie, Freddie) and another would create “moral hazard” if it were bailed out (Lehman Brothers), I can never know the full nature of the “rules”. It’s dynamic.
Some rules will be in force for years, and then one day the SEC can ban selling a company short (selling the stock you borrow from someone else, buy it from the market later at what is hopefully a lower price. You then replace the shares you borrowed from someone else’s account – sell high – buy low).
By observing reality, I see that nothing is forbidden and there are no rules.
The market is unpredictable, volatile, competitive, and powerful. Sun Tzu’s bestseller, “The Art of War” has an adapted version for traders and investors. I adopted this one fully for a while. War analogies abound on Wall Street. Common phrases include “I’m getting killed”, “pulling the trigger”, “hired guns”, “body rain”, “churn burn and bury”, and “blowing up” to name but a few. The world of Wall Street is littered with masculine metaphors about war, sex and dominance.
I have never found it successful to try to act like a man. Not only is it impossible, it isn’t fun. I don’t want to “blow up”.
Warren Buffett was the first person that I heard refer to the market as Mr. Market. It just hit me one day while talking with my sister. She has listened to countless hours of my trials with Mr. Market (which in my book should qualify her for sainthood).
One day she told me, “It’s like you’re in a bad relationship with the market. He’s treating you like crap, doesn’t really care if you exist, does his own thing, lies to you, but you just won’t break up and take your losses. Why don’t you just break up with him, and find someone who will really love you?”
Golden rule in trading is “Cut your losses short.”
You can’t sit around and suffer bad behavior from Mr. Market that is opposite to your expectations or you will suffer. To quote Dr. Phil, “You teach people how to treat you.” You should never go into a relationship thinking you will reform your man, and Mr. Market is no different. He will show you who he is, and you have only to decide if you are staying or going.
Market is a Man
I was picking the “bad boys” and expected them to act like “prince charming”. After that, the market metaphor as a man stuck. It was so simple, how could the market be anything else but masculine? Attend a seminar about trading/investing or better yet walk the floor of the New York Stock Exchange and you will see that the vast majority of traders are male.
Tenacity in Investing
Most of us suffer a loss in the market and give up. Some give up before they ever start by telling me they aren’t good with numbers, just let someone else take care of investing, or don’t have any money to invest anyway.
But like most women, I have spent a great deal of time trying to figure out the mind of a man. This is one area where women are loathe to give up. That is why it makes for such an amazing metaphor. You have to have that tenacity and persistence in business and investing in order to succeed.
It’s a lot like our relationships. They take work, and both sides have to perform or it can be a loveless, energy draining situation. If that’s the case, Break UP! And in the case of the market, SELL! Give up or ignore your relationships in life, and you die alone or in the company of misery. Give up or ignore your relationship with Mr. Market, and the end is poverty.
Money has just as much potential to bring us opportunity for joy or torment as the men in our lives.
More Than One Man
There is more than one man in the world and there is more than one market. All I have to do is find the good ones. It was the Sweet Potato Queen, Jill Conner Brown who said we all need 5 men in our lives to cover the necessities: one who can fix things, one to have sex with, one to dance with, one to talk to, and one to pay for things (lucky are those who find one man who possesses at least 3 of the qualities. Hated is the one who has found one man who can do all five!)
Well, it’s no different with Mr. Market. I’m looking for qualities in a business that I LOVE. If they can fix things, dance and pay for things, it’s a keeper. If they do what they say they are going to do, and I like the people who run the business. It is date worthy. If they keep themselves out of debt, and generate profit to pay for things, I’m very attracted.
What girl wouldn’t want true love and a healthy balance sheet?

Jean has a split personality. One personality, Jean, is good and loving and follows the social convention. The other is named Phoenix. Phoenix is ruled by emotion, and is royally pissed off that she was relegated to the dark recesses of Jean’s mind instead of the light of day. Phoenix kills Xavier for having subordinated her alter ego for so long. Xavier pleads with her to come back to the safety of the mansion, and tells her they can work on her “control issues”. Well, not in so many words, but I’m paraphrasing drastically here. It’s not a literary discourse, after all, just a rant.